The Blame of the Game
First
published elsewhere Feb. 2, 2009
As I write
this, the U.S. Senate is taking up President Obama’s stimulus package, and
trying to get GOP support for it – even though not a single Republican voted
for it in the House. Politics as usual.
From a very
cursory look at media coverage, Obama’s package seems to be a mish- mosh of
measures, some of them actually geared to job creation, others just pet
projects and programs favored by the Democrats. But it’s all absolutely
essential, we’re told.
Didn’t we hear
that same line from Henry Paulson, the late unlamented President Bush’s
Secretary of the Treasury? As a Republican and a Wall Street type, his idea was
to bail our banks and other financial institutions – supposedly so they’d start
making loans again. Only they weren’t actually required to, and they aren’t.
Meanwhile,
knee-jerk liberals and conservatives continue to play the Blame Game. And it’s
a pretty simple game: for conservatives, the villains are liberal social
programs that promoted looser credit for the poor, especially minorities. For
liberals, it’s all about greedy financiers and businesses, ripping off ordinary
Americans and laughing all the way to the bank.
Feb. 2 happens
to be the birthday of Ayn Rand, and some liberal commentators are now blaming her for the financial meltdown. After all,
former Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan was one of her acolytes
back in the day, and at the very least he seems to have been asleep at the
switch as Wall Street created an enormous bubble based on securities that the
Masters of the Universe knew or should have known would become virtually
worthless if there was a slump in the housing market.
People on the
Left and the Right both seem to think that Capitalism in the classic sense was
in play for the last several decades – since Ronald Reagan, anyway. But what
we’ve really had is more akin to Putinism, the post-Soviet system in Russia in
which the government favors oligarchs that favor the government. One might call
it fascism, but that word connotes (even if it doesn’t denote) the kind of
racial and religious persecution and genocide that the Nazis will be forever
remembered for.
With Putinism,
it’s all about “making money,” but not in the sense of those classic John
Houseman commercials for Smith Barney (“They make money the old-fashioned
way... they earn
it.”). Actually earning money is anathema to both the Wall Street
“wizards” who played with fire and ended up burning the rest of us, and to
politically- connected businessmen. Rand herself called the latter the
“aristocracy of pull,” and the most blatant example during the Bush regime was
the no-bid contracts during the Iraq War that funneled billions of dollars to
Haliburton and other companies for shoddy work – at the very same time Bush was
telling our soldiers to buy their own body armor.
Rand was
wrong-headed on a number of issues, most of them not relevant here. What is is that for her; altruism was the root of
all evil, and the corrupt businessmen in her Atlas Shrugged somehow had to be altruistic – no, they
weren’t interested in profits, just in serving the public interest. By
contrast, Rand argued, greed was an unconditional virtue – a notion ironically
echoed in Wall
Street, where the
ruthless Gordon Gekko (Michael Douglas) proclaims that “greed is good.” But to
call the people at Haliburton or Citigroup altruistic is ludicrous. What they
were, and still are, is what Rand called moochers, but their motivation was and
still is greed – only greed for the unearned.
Of course they
were, and still are, incredibly stupid. When Citigroup’s Robert Rubin was
grilled by Congress about why he pushed his bank into the business of risky
CDOs (collateralized debt obligations, which disguised packages of toxic
mortgages and other dubious investments), he argued that all the other banks were
doing it. He might as
well have been some teenage junkie, arguing that everybody else is doing drugs.
I understand that one of the formulas used by the “wizards” of Wall Street
didn’t even consider a downturn in the housing market as a factor to be
reckoned with.
There’s been a
lot of debate over the regulation of the financial industry or lack of same.
But the real problem has nothing to do with the Federal Reserve Board or the
Securities and Exchange Commission. It’s a matter of simple honesty. The Masters of the Universe were cooking the books to make their CDOs and other products
appear to be worth more than they actually were, and to report “profits” that
turned out to be illusory – only, not until after they had awarded themselves
huge bonuses on the basis of those “profits,” after having already pulled down
huge commissions for selling those financial products in the first place. One
thing these people hate is the “Mark
to Market” rule that calls on them to report their securities at their actual
market value, instead of pulling an inflated value out of thin air.
It’s an ironic
contrast to the “creative accounting” in Hollywood that cheats any writer or
actor foolish enough to sign for a share in the profits of a blockbuster movie
by pretending that even Star Wars somehow
never made any money. What’s also ironic is that, chances are, the creators of
“creative accounting” are the kind of liberals who make movies like Wall Street. Just about to be released now, by the
way, is a movie called The International,
in which Interpol agent Louis Salinger (Clive Owen) risks his life to bring
down a powerful bank that is engaged in money laundering, arms trading and political
assassination on a global scale. Maybe Salinger should have just gotten them
into CDOs.
But you won’t
hear any condemnation of “creative accounting” from Congress or the White
House. That’s because the federal government, and state and local governments
as well, survive on creative accounting. In an Op Ed piece last August for the New York Times, Michael Granof, a professor of
accounting at the schools of business and public affairs at the University of
Texas in Austin, gave some outrageous examples of what he called “Stupid Budget
Tricks:”
In 1991,
the State of New York sold Attica prison to none other than itself. The buyer
was a state agency that financed the $200 million purchase price by issuing
bonds. The agency then leased the prison back to the state, with the lease
payments being equal to the debt service on the bonds.
In
substance, of course, the transaction was nothing more than a borrowing
arrangement — the equivalent of borrowing $200 million from the buyers of the
bonds. Nevertheless, the state booked the entire sale price as revenue for the
year. The previous year, the state sold the Cross Westchester Expressway to the
New York Thruway Authority — in other words, to itself.
New York
is not the only state fond of this sort of budgetary dissembling. Gov. Arnold
Schwarzenegger of California wants to reduce his state’s deficit by borrowing
money from the future. His plan is to issue $15 billion in bonds that are
backed by future lottery revenues. More than a third of that money would be
used to ease California’s current-year deficit.
Borrowing from the future to pay for
the present is, unfortunately, becoming routine.
In 2006,
Indiana leased a toll road to a foreign consortium from Australia and Spain.
The state received $3.8 billion upfront by surrendering the next 75 years of
toll revenues. Other states have sold tobacco bonds that provide one-time
infusions of cash — in return for forgoing 25 years of payments from cigarette
companies that were supposed to pay for health care related to tobacco-caused illnesses.
One example
Granof didn’t mention is from my own state, New Jersey, which is notorious for
fiscal chicanery. And not just by Democrats: It was the “brainchild” of
Governor Christie Whitman, a Republican, to close a budget gap by floating a
bond issue to fund state pensions instead of paying them out of current
revenues. Out of sight, out of mind – but now the state is saddled with a huge
debt because of that bond issue and other bonds for other purposes that were
calculated to sweep their true costs under the rug.
Borrowing from
the future has always been the basis of Social Security and other federal
government programs. It will be the same with the economic recovery program, no
matter how the details are tweaked. There will be rosy projections of how
revenues will increase to pay back the $1 trillion or whatever, but they may be
nothing more than wishful thinking – the same kind of wishful thinking that got
Wall Street and the business community into trouble. Like the people in Detroit
who couldn’t imagine that the market for SUV’s could ever collapse – and have
now been bailed out to the tune of billions of dollars. A satirical ad late
last year, before the bailout was approved, hit the nail on the head: "You Wouldn't Buy Our Shitty Cars, So We'll Be Taking Your Money Anyway."
Now I saw Pirates of Silicon Valley, and I’m not going to argue that Bill
Gates is a white knight. He screwed Steve Jobs (But then, Jobs had gotten the
idea for personal computers from techies at Xerox, which was too stupid to
develop the technology.). Still, Jobs can’t complain about his financial as
opposed to personal health. The point is, Gates and Jobs produced something of
value. I’m writing this
on a computer, and uploading to my website. Computers and the Internet are so
essential to my day job that I can’t really imagine how I ever got along
without them. What Gates and Jobs have done to enrich my life is beyond
calculation. No sane person can argue that he or she hasn’t gotten their
money’s worth from Microsoft or Apple.
What did we
get from Enron? Nothing. Ken Lay
was a parasite, playing a shell game, who betrayed the trust of his investors
and his own employees (When Enron was starting to tank, he dumped his own stock
but forbade his employees to do the same.). The collapse of Enron also brought
down the accounting firm Arthur Andersen. But until the shit began to hit the
fan, President Bush and Ken Lay were bosom buddies. Lay had to be one hell of a businessman, because
he’d made $700,000 in campaign contributions to Bush and shelled out $200,000
for his inauguration. But then Bush must have thought he was one hell of a
businessman for having gotten the taxpayers of Dallas to pony up for a new
stadium for the Texas Rangers.
With “friends”
like these, capitalism sure doesn’t need any enemies.
Now I know about
as much about economics as about string theory, but there are a couple of ideas
that have occurred to me from following the news.
• The term
“investor” can be misleading. To my mind, the only true investors are venture
capitalists and people who buy stock at initial public offerings (IPOs). They
are the only people who pay for research and development, tooling up and
whatever else a company needs to get up and running or stay up and running.
Ordinary
people like me “invest” in 401K plans or IRAs or mutual funds for their
retirement, or to supplement their working income. They are looking for a
reasonable rate of return, but don’t expect to make a killing. The companies
they “invest” in never see a cent of their money. They don’t do the companies
any good, but they want the
companies to do well because it’s in their own interest.
Then there are
the speculators, who would just as soon wreck a company. Until a short time
ago, I had never known that “selling short” involves trading in stock that the
speculator doesn’t
own. They’re supposed to
“borrow” the stock, but from what I’ve read they don’t actually have to. Here’s a terrorist scenario for you:
Al Qaeda mounting a scheme to sell everything short and bring down the economy.
• There is no
such thing as “business ethics.” Businessmen have the same rights and
responsibilities as anybody else – neither more nor less. And the best way to
ensure that businessmen behave ethically is to treat them exactly like everyone
else.
Suppose I’m
too cheap to maintain my car. I’m driving around with bald tires and bad
brakes, and end up running down and killing somebody as a result. I’d end up in
jail. Now suppose I’m the CEO of a company, and I’m too cheap to ensure that my
plants are operated safely. One of my plants blows up as a result, and a number
of workers are killed.
Get the idea?
Under current regulatory laws, my company might be fined but, hey, that’s just
the cost of doing business. But if I knew I could end up in the slammer, you
better believe that I’d have a powerful motive to do my job right. It’s the
same with any number of other issues. As an individual, I couldn’t get away
with dumping my garbage on your front lawn; so as a manufacturer, why should I
have the right to dump my toxic waste on other people’s property?
Ethics and the
law should be the same for the CEO and the ordinary Joe. The best among us will
do the right thing as a matter of principle. Others may need the stick as well
as the carrot. But the bottom line is personal responsibility – something sorely lacking on Wall
Street, Detroit or Capitol Hill.
Hello, I was hoping to ask you for permission to use a story by your father in a new science fiction collection. Is it possible you could email me at Rachel@rnpermissions.co.uk to discuss this please? Thanks very much Rachel
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